Every bet has a chance of not hitting but based on the value (-113 odds), this one is worth the wager. However, if it doesn’t hit, it’ll most likely be because of these reasons:

Indiana’s High-Scoring Offense:
The Pacers are driven by their fast-paced offense and strong guard play. Tyrese Haliburton, in particular, is playing at an All-Star level again, capable of dissecting defenses and controlling the tempo. Phoenix may struggle to keep up if Indiana gets hot early, especially since the Suns rank in the bottom half of the league in transition defense.

Portland’s Defensive Adjustments:
Although the Trail Blazers have struggled in their last five matchups with Denver, they may adopt a strategy of double-teaming Jokic early and forcing other Nuggets players to step up. This approach could limit Jokic’s scoring opportunities and shift his role toward facilitating.

Potential Blowout Scenario:
Given Denver’s dominance over Portland in their recent matchups, there’s a risk the game could turn into a blowout. If this happens, Jokic’s minutes could be reduced, limiting his chances to rack up points and pushing his total below 25.