Every bet has a chance of not hitting but based on the value (-105 odds), this one is worth the wager. However, if it doesn’t hit, it’ll most likely be because of these reasons:

Hollywood’s Injury Concerns: Hollywood Brown could get injured again. He’s dealt with a variety of injuries which isn’t completely unexpected with his frame. If he misses any time in this game, that could significantly impact his opportunity to make 4 receptions or more. Although Xavier Worthy missed some time last game and still finished with 7 REC on 11 TGTs. 

Chiefs Get Conservative: With two games left and only one win needed to secure the No.1 seed, the Chiefs could get ultra conservative on Christmas without wanting to reveal the best of their playbook against a potential foe they’ll face in a few weeks with much more on the line. If that’s the case, they might not get Hollywood Brown the touches that he’d warrant if this was a Postseason matchup. 

No Chris Jones: Chris Jones is the Chiefs’ defensive leader and their only dominant force that consistently creates havoc in the backfield and forces the opposing QB to make poor decisions. With him not suiting up, that could give Russell Wilson ample amount of time to extend drives and give Najee Harris clear running lanes that allows them to run up the clock which would lead to fewer opportunities for Brown and the offense, and also help the Steelers take a lead beyond just 11 points.