WORTH THE WAGER: $100K Parlay Bet for NFL Wild Card Sunday

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As three NFL Wild Card games take place on Sunday, January 12th, 2025, check out why this one bet is worth the wager. 

Disclaimer: Never bet above what you can afford to lose. For some people that’s $100K, for others that’s $1. Let’s explore why we have a good chance to double whatever that number is today instead of losing it.

As the NFL playoffs kick off, two highly anticipated Wild Card matchups feature rookie quarterbacks making their postseason debuts: Jayden Daniels leads the Washington Commanders against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while Bo Nix takes charge for the Denver Broncos against the Buffalo Bills.

The Washington Commanders have undergone a remarkable turnaround this season, led by the 2023 Heisman Trophy winner and likely 2024 NFL Rookie of the Year, Jayden Daniels. Daniels showcased his dual-threat abilities in his NFL debut against the Buccaneers during Week 1 earlier this season, where he passed for 184 yards, rushed for 88 yards, and scored two total touchdowns. 

The Commanders under head coach Dan Quinn finished the regular season with a 12-5 record and have been an offensive force in both passing and rushing situations, with Daniels setting a new NFL record for rushing yards by a rookie quarterback with 891, breaking Robert Griffin III‘s record from 2012 with the same franchise.

As great as Daniels was during the regular season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers bring playoff experience and resilience. Veteran QB Baker Mayfield has led Tampa Bay to their fifth straight playoff appearance and another NFC South division title. While the Buccaneers triumphed over Washington in Week 1, both teams have evolved significantly since that early meeting.

In the AFC, the Denver Broncos are back in the playoffs for the first time since their Super Bowl 50 victory. Rookie QB Bo Nix has been the cornerstone of their success, capping the regular season with a stellar performance in their playoff-clinching win. The Broncos finished 10-7, securing the seventh seed for the right to go into Buffalo. 

Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills, led by star quarterback Josh Allen, have established themselves as a perennial powerhouse, finishing the season with a 13-4 record and the AFC’s second seed. Allen’s consistency and explosive offense set a high bar for Denver’s defense. These matchups set the stage for thrilling battles during NFL’s wild card weekend, showcasing the future of the league that puts promising rookies against seasoned playoff contenders. 

Scroll down to see why this parlay bet with 2 legs is worth the wager on NFL Wild Card Sunday (-106 ODDS):

1. BUFFALO BILLS ML (-440)

2. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS ML (-170)

 





FACTS & TRENDS

Buffalo Bills ML has hit 8/8 times (100%) in all of their home games in 2024Denver Broncos ML has hit 1/8 times (12.5%) in their 8 games vs. winning teams playing their starters in 2024 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML has hit 5/6 times (83.3%) in their 6 home games with Mike Evans healthy in 2024Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML has hit 6/7 times (85.7%) in their last 7 games since the bye weekWashington Commanders ML has hit 0/3 (0%) times in their 3 road games vs. Playoff teams in 2024
 





WHY IT HITS

$100K PARLAY FOR NFL DAY ON DATE (-106):

LEG #1: BUFFALO BILLS ML (-440)LEG #2: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-170)

 
 

1st ReasonJosh Allen can single-handedly win games and Denver will have their cut out for them to stop the passing & rushing attacks

2nd ReasonThe Bucs are rolling since Mike Evans returned and the defense gets star S Antoine Winfield Jr. & CB Jamel Dean back

3rd ReasonJayden Daniels & Bo Nix are starting their 1st career Playoff games while Baker Mayfield & Allen have postseason experience

Every bet has a chance of not hitting but based on the value (-106 odds), this one is worth the wager. However, if it doesn’t hit, it’ll most likely be because of these reasons:

POINT 1: Buffalo’s reliance on Josh Allen’s heroics can sometimes backfire, especially if Allen forces plays that lead to turnovers. In a single-elimination scenario, a couple of costly errors could swing the game in Denver’s favor.

POINT 2: Jayden Daniels has the dual-threat capability to challenge the Buccaneers’ defense. Daniels’ mobility could exploit Tampa Bay’s occasional struggles against mobile quarterbacks, giving Washington a chance to control the game.

POINT 3: Sean Payton and Dan Quinn are arguably better coaches than Sean McDermott and Todd Bowles which could prove to be a huge advantage in a playoff setting. 

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